2024 Oscars Odds

The 96th Academy Awards, also known as the 2024 Oscars, is set for Sunday, March 10, 2024 and will be held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, California. Below you will find odds for the Oscars along with past pick results provided by Splash Sports Blog.

Be sure to visit our 2024 Oscars Forecasting page for category predictions and film review rankings.

2024 Oscars Best Picture Odds

• Oppenheimer +100
• Killers of the Flower Moon +250
• Poor Things +550
• Past Lives +900
• Anatomy of a Fall +1400
• Lee +1400
• Dune Part Two +1400
• The Color Purple +1400
• The Killer +1600
• Maestro +1600
• Barbie +1600
• The Holdovers +1800
• American Fiction +2000
• All of Us Strangers +2000
• Blitz +2000
• Rustin +2500
• Asteroid City +2500
• Napoleon +2500
• May December +2800
• AND +2800
• Sound of Freedom +2800
• Foe +2800
• Priscilla +3500
• Ferrari +3500
• Air +3500
• Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One +4000
• The Bikeriders +4000
• Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse +5000
• Saltburn +5000
• Firebrand +5000
• Beau is Afraid +5000
• The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar +5000
• Wish +6500
• Next Goal Wins +6500
• Magazine Dreams +6500
• Elemental +10000
• Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny +10000
• The Super Mario Brothers Movie +10000

2024 Oscars Best Director Odds

• Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) -165
• Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon) +200
• Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things) +400
• Celine Song (Past Lives) +600
• Jonathan Glazer (The Zone of Interest) +800
• Greta Gerwig (Barbie) +1000
• Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall) +1400
• Emerald Fennell (Saltburn) +1400
• Bradley Cooper (Maestro) +1400
• Alexander Payne (The Holdovers) +1400
• Blitz Bazawule (The Color Purple) +1600
• Ridley Scott (Napoleon) +2000
• Jimmy Chin & Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi (Nyad) +2000
• David Fincher (The Killer) +2000
• Ellen Kuras (Lee) +2000
• Wes Anderson (Asteroid City) +2000
• Sofia Coppola (Priscilla) +2000
• Jeff Nichols (The Bikerides) +2500
• Ben Affleck (Air) +2500
• Todd Haynes (May Decemeber) +2500
• George C. Wolfe (Rustin) +3500
• Taika Waititi (Next Goal Wins) +4000
• Michael Mann (Ferrari) +4000
• Jeymes Samuel (The Book of Clarence) +5000
• Ari Aster (Beau is Afraid) +5000
• Paul King (Wonka) +6500
• Garth Davis (Foe) +6500
• David Yates (Pain Hustlers) +6500
• Alice Rohrwacher (La Chimera) +6500

2024 Oscars Best Actor Odds

• Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) -120
• Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of the Flower Moon) +275
• Colman Domingo (Rustin) +275
• Bradley Cooper (Maestro) +350
• Barry Keoghan (Saltburn) +800
• Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) +1100
• Ryan Gosling (Barbie) +1200
• Kingsley Ben-Adir (Bob Marley: One Love) +1200
• Teo Yoo (Past Lives) +1400
• David Strathairn (A Little Prayer) +1600
• Michael Fassbender (The Killer) +1800
• Joaquin Phoenix (Napoleon) +1800
• Adam Driver (Ferrari) +2000
• Zac Efron (The Iron Claw) +2200
• Paul Mescal (Carmen) +2200
• LaKeith Stanfield (The Book of Clarence) +2200
• Christian Friedel (The Zone of Interest) +2200
• Matt Damon (Air) +2500
• Anthony Hopkins (Frueds Last Session) +3500
• Jamie Foxx (The Burial) +3500
• Jay Baruchel (BlackBerry) +5000
• Koji Yakusho (Perfect Days) +5000
• Timothee Chalamet (Wonka) +5000

2024 Oscars Best Actress Odds

• Emma Stone (Poor Things) +150
• Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) +175
• Carey Mulligan (Maestro) +350
• Fantasia Barrino (The Color Purple) +350
• Annette Bening (Nyad) +500
• Margot Robbie (Barbie) +800
• Sandra Huller (Anatomy of a Fall) +800
• Greta Lee (Past Lives) +900
• Cailee Spaeny (Priscilla) +1100
• Natalie Portman (May December) +1400
• Kate Winslet (Lee) +1600
• Teyana Taylor (A Thousand and One) +2000
• Vanessa Kirby (Napoleon) +2500
• Merve Dizdar (About Dry Glasses) +2500
• Jessie Buckley (Fingernails) +2500
• Saoirse Ronan (Foe) +2500
• Regina King (Shirley) +2500
• Helen Mirren (Golda) +2800
• Emily Blunt (Pain Hustlers) +3500
• Margaret Qualley (Drive-Away Dolls) +3500
• Michelle Williams (Showing Up) +3500

Odds provided by various regulated sources

Oscars Odds Review Podcast

Head over to our YouTube channel for Thom and Brian's break down for various films this year! Check out their reviews for top Oscars contenders and how to win your Academy Award Contests and picks!

Episode 1 - Oppenheimer

2023 Oscars Results

Below are the results from the 2023 Academy Award show.

• Largest Favorite to Win: Best Animated Film – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (-3500) / Best Supporting Actor – Ke Huy Quan (-3500)
• Longest Underdog to Win: Best Production Design – All Quiet on the Western Front (+900)
• Most Awards: Everything Everywhere All At Once (7)

Favorites-Underdogs: 19-4

• Best Picture – Everything Everywhere All At Once (-2500)
• Best Actor – Brendan Fraser (The Whale) (-150)
• Best Actress – Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once) (-250)
• Best Director – Dan Kwan/Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All At Once) (-1400)
• Best Supporting Actor – Ke Huy Quan (-3500)
• Best Supporting Actress – Jamie Lee Curtis (+140)
• Best Original Screenplay – Everything Everywhere All At Once (-150)
• Best Adapted Screenplay – Women Talking (-225)
• Best Cinematography – All Quiet on the Western Front (-500)
• Best Animated Film – Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio (-3500)
• Best International Film – All Quiet on the Western Front – Germany (-2000)
• Best Documentary – Navalny (-250)
• Best Film Editing – Everything Everywhere All At Once (-250)
• Best Production Design – All Quiet on the Western Front (+900)
• Best Costume Design – Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (+200)
• Best Makeup & Hairstyle – The Whale (+150)
• Best Song – Naatu Naatu (RRR) (-500)
• Best Sound – Top Gun: Maverick (-500)
• Best Score – All Quiet on the Western Front (+160)
• Best Visual Effects – Avatar: The Way of Water (-2500)
• Best Documentary Short – The Elephant Whisperers (-165)
• Best Animated Short – The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (-280)
• Best Live Action Short – An Irish Goodbye (+100)

2024 Oscars Categories

There are 23 total categories at the Oscars, which are listed below.

• Best Picture
• Best Director
• Best Actor
• Best Actress
• Best Supporting Actor
• Best Supporting Actress
• Best Original Screenplay
• Best Adapted Screenplay
• Best Cinematography
• Best Animated Film
• Best Documentary Film
• Best International Film
• Best Production Design
• Best Costume Design
• Best Makeup & Hairstyle
• Best Sound
• Best Score
• Best Original Song
• Best Film Editing
• Best Visual Effects
• Best Animated Short
• Best Documentary Short
• Best Live-Action Short

Who Picks Oscars Winners?

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences picks the winners for each category at the Oscars. There are over 9,000 members that make up the organization, which come from different positions within the film industry.

The Academy is made up of specific ‘branches’, each branch having at least one category at the Oscars. The branches are below:

• Actors/Actresses
• Writers
• Directors
• Producers
• Music
• Makeup
• Hairstyle
• Sound
• Editors
• Animation
• Short Films
• Visual Effects
• Costume Designers
• Documentary
• Production Designers

Specific branch members nominate and vote on winners. Animators nominate and vote for animated films, sound mixers and musicians nominate and vote for Best Sound and Best Song, actors/actresses nominate and vote for acting categories, etc…

How is Best Picture Voting Different?

The Best Picture category is the only category that uses a different voting system to determine its winner. In all the other categories, members get just one vote but the Best Picture category is ranked in order of preference by the other members.

Because there are so many nominations for Best Picture now (up to nine in 2020), the Academy developed a system that avoids picking a winner only receiving a possible 10% of votes. This system is known as ‘preferential voting’.

According to Variety, the system adds up all the No. 1 votes first. If those votes exceed 50% then the film automatically wins, although this is apparently a very rare circumstance.

If a film that receives the most No. 1 votes is under 50%, then the counting goes to the most No. 2 votes. If no film has over 50% of the votes after counting all No. 1 and No. 2 votes, then the counting moves to the most No. 3 votes. This is repeated until a film goes over the 50% mark.

Important Awards to Track

There are various awards surrounding the film industry each year, with some more specific than others. These shows are great precursors to forecast category winners.

A great example is in 2022 when Jessica Chastain won the SAG for Best Actress, while Troy Kotsur also won the SAG for Best Supporting Actor. Prior to the show, Chastain was a +500 underdog to win the Best Actress Oscar while Kotsur was a +350 underdog for Best Supporting Actor.

After each won the SAG, Chastain jumped to a -150 favorite while Kotsur shortened to a -350 favorite. Circle these award shows to help decipher where each industry category is leaning with its picks.

• Golden Globes – International award show for television and film
• SAG – Actors and actresses
• Writer’s Guild of America Awards – Writers
• Director’s Guild of America Awards – Directors
• Golden Reels – Editing
• Critic’s Choice
• ASC Awards – Cinematography
• ASCAP Awards – Music in film
• VES Awards – Visual Effects
• Costume Designer Guild Awards – Costume Designer
• Hollywood Makeup/Hairstylist Awards – Makeup & Hairstyle
• Saturn Awards – Fantasy & Horror

Important Film Festivals to Track

Film festivals are great sources to see how new releases are perceived by critics. There are five main film festivals to track when forecasting which new movies to keep on your Oscars radar.

• Cannes Film Festival
• Berlin International Film Festival
• Venice Film Festival
• Toronto International Film Festival
• Sundance Film Festival

How to Bet on the Oscars?

Betting on the Oscars is no different than any other sports wager. You have money lines for a favorite and plenty of underdogs.

This is another form of ‘group betting’, a betting style most common with motorsports or golf. Below is an example of what the odds looked like for one of the categories in the past.

2020 Best Picture Odds

• 1917 (-160)
• Parasite (+200)
• Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (+950)
• Joker (+1250)
• The Irishman (+6600)
• Jojo Rabbit (+9000)
• Marriage Story (+10000)
• Little Women (+15000)
• Ford v Ferrari (+25000)

If a bettor wanted to wager on Parasite to win Best Picture, then it would cost a bettor $100 to possibly win back $300 ($100 wager + $200 winnings). If a bettor wanted to wager on 1917 to win instead, then it would cost a bettor $160 to possibly win back $260 ($160 wager + $100 winnings).

Oscars Results History

Best Picture Winners

• 2023 - Everything Everywhere All At Once (-2500)
• 2022 – CODA (-155)
• 2021 – Nomadland (-670)

Best Director Winners

• 2023 - Dan Kwan & Daniel Scheinert - Everything Everywhere All At Once (-1400)
• 2022 – Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog (-3500)
• 2021 – Chloe Zhao – Nomadland (-3335)

Best Actor Winners

• 2023 - Brendan Fraser - The Whale (-150)
• 2022 – Will Smith – King Richard (-800)
• 2021 – Anthony Hopkins – The Father (+700)

Best Actress Winners

• 2023 - Michelle Yeoh - Everything Everywhere All At Once (-250)
• 2022 – Jessica Chastain (-140)
• 2021 – Frances McDormand – Nomadland (+400)

Best Supporting Actor Winners

• 2023 - Ke Huy Quan - Everything Everywhere All At Once (-3500)
• 2022 – Troy Kotsur – CODA (-800)
• 2021 – Daniel Kaluuya – Judas & The Black Messiah (-2500)

Best Supporting Actress Winners

• 2023 - Jamie Lee Curtis - Everything Everywhere All At Once (+140)
• 2022 – Ariana DeBose – West Side Story (-1600)
• 2021 – Youn Yuh-jung – Minari (-500)

Best Original Screenplay Winners

• 2023 - Everything Everywhere All At Once (-150)
• 2022 – Belfast (+110)
• 2021 – Promising Young Woman (-450)

Best Adapted Screenplay Winners

• 2023 - Women Talking (-225)
• 2022 – CODA (-250)
• 2021 – The Father (+300)

Best Cinematography Winners

• 2023 - All Quiet on the Western Front (-500)
• 2022 – Dune (-500)
• 2021 – Mank (+350)

Best Animated Film Winners

• 2023 - Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio (-3500)
• 2022 – Encanto (-1000)
• 2021 – Soul (-5000)

Best International Film Winners

• 2023 - All Quiet on the Western Front (-2000)
• 2022 – Drive My Car (-2500)
• 2021 – Another Round (-1250)

Best Documentary Winners

• 2023 - Navalny (-250)
• 2022 – Summer of Soul (-360)
• 2021 – My Octopus Teacher (-500)

Best Production Design Winners

• 2023 - All Quiet on the Western Front (+900)
• 2022 – Dune (-300)
• 2021 – Mank (-560)

Best Costume Design Winners

• 2023 - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (+200)
• 2022 – Cruella (-450)
• 2021 – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (-500)

Best Makeup & Hairstyle Winners

• 2023 - The Whale (+150)
• 2022 – The Eyes of Tammy Faye (-280)
• 2021 – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (-670)

Best Film Editing Winners

• 2023 - Everything Everywhere All At Once (-250)
• 2022 – Dune (-125)
• 2021 – Sound of Metal (-118)

Best Sound Winners

• 2023 - Top Gun: Maverick (-500)
• 2022 – Dune (-1200)
• 2021 – Sound of Metal (-2500)

Best Score Winners

• 2023 - All Quiet on the Western Front (+160)
• 2022 – Dune (-500)
• 2021 – Soul (-1667)

Best Original Song Winners

• 2023 - RRR (-500)
• 2022 – No Time to Die (-225)
• 2021 – Judas and The Black Messiah (+2500)

Best Visual Effects Winners

• 2023 - Avatar: The Way of Water (-2500)
• 2022 – Dune (-3500)
• 2021 – Tenet (-560)

Best Documentary Short Winners

• 2023 - The Elephant Whisperers (-165)
• 2022 – The Queen of Basketball (-155)
• 2021 – Colette (+800)

Best Animated Short Winners

• 2023 - The Boy, the Mole, the Fox and the Horse (-280)
• 2022 – The Windshield Wiper (+500)
• 2021 – If Anything Happens I Love You (-335)

Best Live Action Short Winners

• 2023 - An Irish Goodbye (+100)
• 2022 – The Long Goodbye (-225)
• 2021 – Two Distant Strangers (-118)

Most Awards Won

• 2023 - Everything Everywhere All At Once (7)
• 2022 – Dune (6)
• 2021 – Nomadland (3)

Oscars Favorites-Underdogs History

• 2023: 19-4
• 2022: 21-2
• 2021: 17-6

• Total: 57-12

What Betting Odds Are Offered for the Oscars?

All 23 categories are offered as betting markets at the Academy Awards. Early markets will open for popular categories such as Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, and Best Director. It isn’t until nominations are released that other category markets become available to wager on.

The Academy Awards are only legal to wager on in a few states (Michigan, Colorado, Louisiana, New Jersey, etc…), which is another reason to participate in a pool instead! RYP offers Oscars pools so you can compete against your friends and not a sportsbook! Check out the Academy Award pools and create your own!